WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 53% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,071 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jasmine Paolini here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the servebot's high ace rate. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -14.4% | -28.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.01u | -2.80u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
3
Sakkari
2
Paolini
Feb 8, 2026
Doha
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 7, 2025
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Apr 22, 2025
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 19, 2024
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 16
May 31, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sakkari's 40%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 16 | L 36 26 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 64 62 | W 67 62 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 61 63 | L 26 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 36 26 | W 61 62 |
| Katie Boulter | W 63 64 | W 06 63 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 46 | L 26 36 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 67 46 | W 76 76 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 62 36 46 | W 76 61 |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | L 16 26 | W 75 75 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 63 36 62 | L 64 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sakkari | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.7% | 63.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 56.2% | 62.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.9% | 42.7% |
| Aces / Match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.9% | 52.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.8% | 37.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.7% | 48.5% |
| BP Converted % | 74.8% | 28.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 44.6% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 45% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Maria Sakkari and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Round of 32 at Madrid on Clay.
Maria Sakkari leads 3-2 over 5 previous meetings.
Maria Sakkari is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Qinwen Zheng (Jun 15).
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
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