WTA 1000 · Quarterfinals · Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Williams
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,569 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Madison Keys plays Venus Williams.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 4.37 |
| ROI % | +68.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +10.94u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Keys
1
Williams
Aug 7, 2023
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 64
Aug 12, 2019
Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 25, 2016
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 2, 2015
Zhuhai
H Hard · Round Robin
Jan 19, 2015
Australian Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Williams's 25%).
| Opponent | Keys | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | W | L 36 62 16 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 46 64 62 | W 63 64 |
| Diane Parry | W 64 63 | L 36 76 16 |
| Olga Danilovic | W 64 62 | L 76 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 56.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.7% | 26.7% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 0 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.8% | 54.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 36.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 40% |
| BP Converted % | 56.8% | 50% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 43.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Venus Williams face off in the Quarterfinals at Cincinnati on Hard.
Madison Keys leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 19).
Venus Williams is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Kaitlin Quevedo (Apr 21).
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