Grand Slam · Round of 32 · Wimbledon
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Maria
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,362 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Madison Keys plays Tatjana Maria.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 12–12 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 3.13 |
| ROI % | +68.4% | -10.4% |
| Units P/L | +10.94u | -2.50u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Keys
1
Maria
Jun 9, 2025
Queen's Club
G Grass · Semifinals
Apr 1, 2019
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 28, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 29, 2015
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Maria's 0%).
| Opponent | Keys | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 26 | L |
| Anna Bondar | W 62 75 | L 67 57 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 61 | L 57 76 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 57.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 65.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.7% | 44% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 4.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.8% | 51.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 36.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 59% |
| BP Converted % | 56.8% | 47.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 49.8% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 50% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Tatjana Maria face off in the Round of 32 at Wimbledon on Grass.
Madison Keys leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 19).
Tatjana Maria is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Marie Bouzkova (Jun 19).
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