WTA 1000 · Round of 64 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Bronzetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Madison Keys and Lucia Bronzetti are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,908 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 3.36 |
| ROI % | +68.4% | +130.7% |
| Units P/L | +10.94u | +16.99u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Keys
0
Bronzetti
Apr 22, 2025
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Dec 30, 2024
Auckland
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 2, 2023
United Cup
H Hard · Final
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Bronzetti's 0%).
| Opponent | Keys | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Mccartney Kessler | W 64 63 | L 36 75 46 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 64 61 | L 36 63 46 |
| Clara Tauson | L 16 46 | L 16 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 58.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.7% | 42.6% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.8% | 58.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 39.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 61.8% |
| BP Converted % | 56.8% | 42.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 50.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 78% | 55% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Lucia Bronzetti face off in the Round of 64 at Madrid on Clay.
Madison Keys leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 19).
Lucia Bronzetti is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Katarzyna Kawa (Jun 14).
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