WTA 500 · Quarterfinals · Adelaide 2
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,410 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Madison Keys plays Liudmila Samsonova.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–3 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | +79.6% | -42.8% |
| Units P/L | +11.94u | -3.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Keys
1
Samsonova
May 20, 2024
Strasbourg
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 22, 2024
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 28, 2023
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 10, 2022
Adelaide 2
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 14, 2021
Berlin
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Samsonova's 25%).
| Opponent | Keys | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Antonia Ruzic | W | W 60 64 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W | W 62 61 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 61 75 | L 63 57 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 46 | L 36 67 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 61 | L 60 57 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L 36 26 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 64 63 | L 67 16 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L 26 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 62.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 68.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.7% | 44.6% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.8% | 46.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 37.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 55.1% |
| BP Converted % | 56.8% | 54% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 50.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Liudmila Samsonova face off in the Quarterfinals at Adelaide 2 on Hard.
Madison Keys leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Karolina Muchova (Jun 18).
Liudmila Samsonova is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jil Teichmann (May 25).
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