WTA 1000 · Round of 64 · Montreal
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Siegemund
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,425 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Madison Keys plays Laura Siegemund.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 3.38 |
| ROI % | +68.4% | -27.4% |
| Units P/L | +10.94u | -3.29u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Keys
2
Siegemund
Jul 27, 2025
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Jun 27, 2016
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Apr 4, 2016
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Siegemund's 38%).
| Opponent | Keys | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 36 26 | L |
| Diana Shnaider | L | W 76 26 63 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W | W 64 62 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 46 64 62 | W 64 62 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 63 63 | L 16 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L 26 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L 64 26 46 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 26 63 63 | L 46 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 75.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 55.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.7% | 45.6% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 1.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.8% | 57.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 38.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 60.8% |
| BP Converted % | 56.8% | 52.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 50.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Laura Siegemund face off in the Round of 64 at Montreal on Hard.
Madison Keys leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 19).
Laura Siegemund is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Amanda Anisimova (Jun 10).
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