WTA 500 · Round of 64 · Dubai
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,273 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Madison Keys plays Jasmine Paolini.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | +98.0% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | +17.64u | -3.80u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Keys
0
Paolini
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Paolini's 40%).
| Opponent | Keys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Talia Gibson | W | L 57 62 16 |
| Jessica Pegula | L | L 26 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 61 | W 36 62 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | W 57 75 63 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 61 75 | W 76 61 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L 36 16 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | W 61 62 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 36 26 | L 76 36 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 26 | L 36 26 |
| Aoi Ito | W 64 60 | L 62 57 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 63.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 62.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.7% | 42.7% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 1.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.8% | 52.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 37.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 48.5% |
| BP Converted % | 56.8% | 28.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Round of 64 at Dubai on Hard.
Madison Keys leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Mccartney Kessler (Jun 25).
Jasmine Paolini is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Tatjana Maria (Jun 23).
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