🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#13 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2023; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Dubai (2023).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,273 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
1 career meeting, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -34.5% | +98.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.80u | +17.64u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Paolini's 40%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Talia Gibson | L 57 62 16 | W |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L |
| Laura Siegemund | W 36 62 64 | W 62 61 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 57 75 63 | W 46 63 62 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 76 61 | W 61 75 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 36 36 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 61 62 | L 16 26 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 36 46 | L 64 36 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 76 46 26 |
| Aoi Ito | L 62 57 67 | W 64 60 |
Last five matches per player
Tatjana Maria
Eastbourne ·
Jun 23
Sandy Sierra
French Open ·
May 27
Solana Sierra
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Solana Sierra
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Dayana Yastremska
French Open ·
May 25
Dayana Yastremska
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Elise Mertens
Rome · Round of 32
May 5
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–47 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 62% |
| Sets won | 53% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
