Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Roland Garros
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Baptiste
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,410 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Madison Keys plays Hailey Baptiste.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–3 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 2.36 |
| ROI % | +79.6% | +65.9% |
| Units P/L | +11.94u | +8.57u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Keys
1
Baptiste
May 26, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 6, 2024
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Apr 3, 2023
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 29, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Keys and Baptiste posted a 56% win rate.
| Opponent | Keys | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Victoria Mboko | W | W 76 63 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W | L 46 36 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | W 61 67 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | W 26 62 76 |
| Renata Zarazua | L 76 67 57 | L 63 36 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 60 63 | W 62 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 26 | L 67 62 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 46 | L 46 64 67 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 61 75 | W 26 64 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 56.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 68.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.7% | 50.7% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 6.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 4.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.8% | 66% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 34.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 49.7% |
| BP Converted % | 56.8% | 45.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 50.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 78% | 69% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Hailey Baptiste face off in the Round of 16 at Roland Garros on Clay.
Madison Keys leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Karolina Muchova (Jun 18).
Hailey Baptiste is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Barbora Krejcikova (May 25).
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