WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Madison Keys and Elise Mertens are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 7,186 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–3 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | +79.6% | +55.6% |
| Units P/L | +11.94u | +8.34u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
4
Keys
2
Mertens
Mar 5, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 26, 2024
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 14, 2023
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 28, 2021
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Jan 14, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 28, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mertens's 10%).
| Opponent | Keys | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | W | L 61 36 06 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 36 61 46 | L |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 60 63 | L |
| Diana Shnaider | L | L 63 67 67 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 63 63 | L 57 62 67 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | L 26 36 |
| Donna Vekic | W 62 63 | W 63 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 26 | L 16 36 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 64 61 | L 46 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L 46 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 62% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 68.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.7% | 47.9% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 4.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.8% | 58.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 39.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 54.6% |
| BP Converted % | 56.8% | 45.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Elise Mertens face off in the Round of 32 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Madison Keys leads 4-2 over 6 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Karolina Muchova (Jun 18).
Elise Mertens is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nikola Bartunkova (Jun 17).
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