Grand Slam · Round of 64 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Alexandrova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Madison Keys and Ekaterina Alexandrova are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,968 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 2.75 |
| ROI % | +98.0% | -35.0% |
| Units P/L | +17.64u | -2.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Keys
0
Alexandrova
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Alexandrova's 30%).
| Opponent | Keys | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Mccartney Kessler | W | W 63 63 |
| Talia Gibson | W | L 36 57 |
| Jessica Pegula | L | L 57 63 36 |
| Karolina Muchova | W | L 46 57 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L |
| Diana Shnaider | L | W 63 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | W | W 63 62 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 61 | L 46 76 16 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 63 63 | L 16 36 |
| Anna Bondar | W 62 75 | L 76 36 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 52.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 63.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.7% | 42.4% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 5.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.8% | 50.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 28.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 53.2% |
| BP Converted % | 56.8% | 31.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 46.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Ekaterina Alexandrova face off in the Round of 64 at Australian Open on Hard.
Madison Keys leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Mccartney Kessler (Jun 25).
Ekaterina Alexandrova is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Naomi Osaka (Jun 25).
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