WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,211 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Coco Gauff here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–3 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +79.6% | -17.1% |
| Units P/L | +11.94u | -3.08u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
3
Keys
3
Gauff
May 26, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 22, 2024
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Jun 26, 2023
Eastbourne
G Grass · Semifinals
Feb 20, 2023
Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 29, 2022
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 10, 2022
Adelaide 2
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Gauff's 50%).
| Opponent | Keys | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | W | L 36 75 36 |
| Victoria Mboko | W | L 16 46 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 64 61 | W 63 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | W 63 16 63 |
| Donna Vekic | W 62 63 | W 76 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L 26 64 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 46 | L 36 76 26 |
| Olga Danilovic | W 64 62 | W 62 62 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 36 26 | L 16 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 61 | W 63 60 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 69.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 64.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.7% | 44.6% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 4.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.8% | 47.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 45% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 58% |
| BP Converted % | 56.8% | 48.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 54.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 78% | 70% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Coco Gauff face off in the Round of 16 at Madrid on Clay.
Madison Keys leads 3-3 over 6 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Karolina Muchova (Jun 18).
Coco Gauff is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Paula Badosa (Jun 17).
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