WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Madison Keys and Anna Kalinskaya are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,908 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +68.4% | +32.9% |
| Units P/L | +10.94u | +5.92u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Keys
1
Kalinskaya
Apr 22, 2025
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 31, 2025
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 16
May 23, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kalinskaya's 50%).
| Opponent | Keys | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L | L 26 62 46 |
| Karolina Muchova | W | L 36 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L | W 76 26 76 |
| Victoria Mboko | W | L 46 16 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W | L 63 16 57 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 46 64 62 | W 76 46 61 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | W 64 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 60 63 | W 60 63 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 62 26 36 | W 76 61 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L 16 61 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 61.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 60.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.7% | 43% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 4.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.8% | 49.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 32.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 62.3% |
| BP Converted % | 56.8% | 58.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 48.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 78% | 72% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Anna Kalinskaya face off in the Round of 32 at Madrid on Clay.
Madison Keys leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 19).
Anna Kalinskaya is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Maja Chwalinska (Jun 3).
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