ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Jinan
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
💥 Big Hitter
Kotov
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 2,093 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pavel Kotov here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–9 | 15–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -29.5% | +30.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.42u | +5.40u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
McDonald
0
Kotov
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both McDonald and Kotov posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | McDonald | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Corentin Moutet | L 57 36 | L 57 63 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | McDonald | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.9% | 62.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 59.1% | 72.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.8% | 55% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 5.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54% | 62.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24.1% | 25.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46% | 45.3% |
| BP Converted % | 27.6% | 37% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 16.5 | 19.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.7 | 26 |
| Net Pts Won % | 58.9% | 52.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 43.9% | 49.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 83% |
Last five matches per player
Lloyd Harris
Mutua Madrid Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Oeiras Open 3 · Round of 32
Apr 14
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 32
Apr 7
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 1
Jenson Brooksby
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 32
Mar 30
Matchup overview
Mackenzie McDonald and Pavel Kotov face off in the Round of 16 at Jinan on Hard.
Mackenzie McDonald leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Mackenzie McDonald is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Lloyd Harris (Apr 20).
Pavel Kotov is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mikhail Kukushkin (Apr 21).
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