ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Mexico City
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavlovic
💥 Big Hitter
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Luka Pavlovic here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavlovic | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 1.19 |
| ROI % | -17.8% | -17.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.96u | -0.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Pavlovic
0
Varillas
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Pavlovic and Varillas posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Pavlovic | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Diego Dedura | L 26 26 | L 46 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Pavlovic | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 53.2% | 53.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.4% | 67.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.5% | 43.2% |
| Aces / Match | 7.7 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.7 | 4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.1% | 54.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26.9% | 26% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 44.9% | 34.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24 | 4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36 | 30 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68.1% | 50% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 47% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Daniel Elahi Galan
Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · Round of 32
Jun 10
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Joao Fonseca
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Tomas Barrios Vera
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Harry Wendelken
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Ryan Dickerson
Santos Brasil Tennis Cup · Round of 32
May 6
Lautaro Midon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 16
Apr 9
Victor Braga
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Apr 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 16
Apr 2
Matchup overview
Luka Pavlovic and Juan Pablo Varillas face off in the Quarterfinals at Mexico City on Clay.
Luka Pavlovic leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Luka Pavlovic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daniel Elahi Galan (Jun 10).
Juan Pablo Varillas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ryan Dickerson (May 6).
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