ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 64 · Baotou
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Tokuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Luca Castelnuovo here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–6 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.76 |
| ROI % | -80.7% | -60.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.65u | -4.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Castelnuovo
0
Tokuda
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tokuda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Castelnuovo's 13%).
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| Ognjen Milic | L 36 63 16 | L 36 76 16 |
| Marat Sharipov | L 63 67 26 | L 36 57 |
| Coleman Wong | L 46 64 57 | L 67 46 |
| Oliver Crawford | W 16 63 76 | L 67 63 26 |
| Henrique Rocha | L 36 46 | L 46 36 |
| Kaichi Uchida | L 67 36 | W 63 16 64 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | L 46 57 | W 67 61 62 |
| Alexander Chang | L 06 00 | W 75 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Castelnuovo | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 57.5% | 67.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.2% | 76% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 61.1% | 57.2% |
| Aces / Match | 5.9 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.2% | 58.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.2% | 32.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.5% | 57.4% |
| BP Converted % | 49.2% | 33.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.8 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27 | 45 |
| Net Pts Won % | 87.2% | 75% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.3% | 55% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 33% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Franco Agamenone
Intaro Open · Round of 32
Jun 22
Milos Karol
Enea Poznan Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Fares Zakaria
Enea Poznan Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jurij Rodionov
BOSS OPEN · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
RISE CENTURION OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 1
Matchup overview
Luca Castelnuovo and Renta Tokuda face off in the Round of 64 at Baotou on Clay.
Luca Castelnuovo leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Luca Castelnuovo is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Franco Agamenone (Jun 22).
Renta Tokuda is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Shunsuke Nakagawa (Jun 18).
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