Luca Castelnuovo and Renta Tokuda have met 1 time since 2019; Luca Castelnuovo leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castelnuovo won at Baotou (2019).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Tokuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Luca Castelnuovo.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
1 career meeting, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Castelnuovo | Tokuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Castelnuovo | Renta Tokuda | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–6 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.76 |
| ROI % | -80.7% | -60.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.65u | -4.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tokuda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Castelnuovo's 13%).
| Opponent | Castelnuovo | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| Ognjen Milic | L 36 63 16 | L 36 76 16 |
| Marat Sharipov | L 63 67 26 | L 36 57 |
| Coleman Wong | L 46 64 57 | L 67 46 |
| Oliver Crawford | W 16 63 76 | L 67 63 26 |
| Henrique Rocha | L 36 46 | L 46 36 |
| Kaichi Uchida | L 67 36 | W 63 16 64 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | L 46 57 | W 67 61 62 |
| Alexander Chang | L 06 00 | W 75 75 |
Last five matches per player
Franco Agamenone
Intaro Open · Round of 32
Jun 22
Milos Karol
Enea Poznan Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Fares Zakaria
Enea Poznan Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Jurij Rodionov
BOSS OPEN · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
RISE CENTURION OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 1
Semen Pankin
RISE IRENE OPEN · Round of 32
May 25
Ognjen Milic
Wuxi Open · Round of 32
May 5
Evan Zhu
Wuxi Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 4
Shunsuke Nakagawa
Futures 2026 ·
Jun 18
Ryota Tanuma
Futures 2026 ·
Jun 16
Shu Matsuoka
Futures 2026 ·
Jun 10
Mark Lajal
Wuxi Open · Round of 32
May 6
Ognjen Milic
Jiangxi Open · Round of 32
Apr 29
Marat Sharipov
Gwangju Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Woobin Shin
Gwangju Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 19
Hikaru Shiraishi
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 13
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–53 matches
| Metric | Castelnuovo | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 64% |
| Sets won | 56% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Castelnuovo | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Castelnuovo | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
