Grand Slam · Round of 64 · Roland Garros
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🎯 Baseliner
Paul
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,462 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Lorenzo Sonego here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–5 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | -56.7% | -3.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.40u | -0.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Sonego
2
Paul
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Sonego's 50%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | L 36 36 | L 67 64 36 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 76 | W 62 75 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 62 26 64 | W 62 62 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 63 76 | W 61 62 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 57 | W 64 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 46 | W 61 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sonego | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62% | 63.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 67.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.5% | 49.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1.3 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 71% | 40.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.3% | 32.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.5% | 46.4% |
| BP Converted % | 47.1% | 41.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.2 | 22.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.3 | 32.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68.4% | 73.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.8% | 48.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 17% | 75% |
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Final
May 21
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 19
Daniel Altmaier
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Luciano Darderi
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Match summary
Lorenzo Sonego meets Tommy Paul in the Round of 64 at Roland Garros on May 27, with the match scheduled for clay. Paul, ranked 21st, arrives as the higher seed against Italy's Sonego, who sits at 70th in the standings.
The head-to-head record stands at 2-1 in Paul's favor across three meetings. Paul has won 6 of his last 10 matches with a recent clay record of 15-5 (75%), while Sonego has struggled on the surface, posting a 6-14 mark. Sonego has lost his last five matches and won just three of his past ten overall. Paul has played four matches in the last two weeks and won six of his most recent ten.
Sonego relies on baseline hitting and consistent groundstrokes; his clay record reflects inconsistency at this level. Paul operates as a grinder who runs down balls and extends rallies, traits that translate effectively to clay. Paul's 75% conversion rate on the surface demonstrates comfort in long points, while Sonego must generate offense efficiently to counter that resilience. The matchup tests whether Sonego can impose his game early or whether Paul's retrieval and endurance will control the tempo.
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