ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🎯 Baseliner
Paul
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,462 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Lorenzo Sonego here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–5 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | -56.7% | -3.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.40u | -0.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Sonego
2
Paul
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Sonego's 50%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | L 36 36 | L 67 64 36 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 76 | W 62 75 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 62 26 64 | W 62 62 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 63 76 | W 61 62 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 57 | W 64 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 46 | W 61 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sonego | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62% | 63.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 67.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.5% | 49.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1.3 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 71% | 40.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.3% | 32.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.5% | 46.4% |
| BP Converted % | 47.1% | 41.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.2 | 22.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.3 | 32.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68.4% | 73.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.8% | 48.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 80% |
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Final
May 21
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 19
Daniel Altmaier
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Luciano Darderi
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Sonego and Tommy Paul face off in the Round of 32 at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati on Hard.
Lorenzo Sonego leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Sonego is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Edas Butvilas (May 9).
Tommy Paul is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ignacio Buse (May 21).
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