ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🎯 Baseliner
Alcaraz
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 2,807 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Lorenzo Sonego plays Carlos Alcaraz.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–9 | 5–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.45 | 1.20 |
| ROI % | -46.7% | -13.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.60u | -0.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Sonego
1
Alcaraz
Jan 7, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Aug 17, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Sonego's 10%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 36 26 46 | W 76 64 75 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 46 61 57 | W 61 60 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 36 | W 76 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 67 46 | L 36 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 64 26 46 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 36 | W 64 76 67 67 75 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 36 36 46 | W 64 61 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 62 36 16 | W 76 63 62 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 57 | W 67 75 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 76 76 36 76 | W 62 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sonego | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.4% | 61.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.8% | 71.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.6% | 55.4% |
| Aces / Match | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 66.6% | 43.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.3% | 42.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.8% | 57.7% |
| BP Converted % | 41.3% | 51.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.4 | 24 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 16.8 | 29.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.8% | 65.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 56.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Ben Shelton
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 17
Miomir Kecmanovic
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Round of 16
Jun 15
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Mariano Navone
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Round of 32
Jun 12
Filip Cristian Jianu
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Sonego and Carlos Alcaraz face off in the Round of 64 at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati on Hard.
Lorenzo Sonego leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Sonego is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ben Shelton (Jun 17).
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
Share this match
