ATP Challenger Tour · Finals · Genova
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🎯 Baseliner
Fokina
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Lorenzo Sonego here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–5 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -56.7% | -24.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.40u | -2.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Sonego
1
Fokina
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (30% vs Sonego's 20%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 36 | L 46 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 46 61 57 | L 36 36 |
| Quentin Halys | L 76 57 46 | L 67 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 76 | W 75 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 76 06 36 | L 36 75 67 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 76 76 36 76 | L 67 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 67 46 | L 36 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 36 | L 26 46 |
| Marcos Giron | L 46 46 | W 67 61 64 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 57 57 | W 64 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sonego | Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62% | 68.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 69.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.5% | 54.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1.3 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 71% | 48.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.3% | 30.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.5% | 48.3% |
| BP Converted % | 47.1% | 39% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17.2 | 21.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.3 | 25 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68.4% | 71.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.8% | 51% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 17% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Corentin Moutet
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 9
Cristian Garin
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Casper Ruud
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 27
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Sonego and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina face off in the Finals at Genova on Clay.
Lorenzo Sonego leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Sonego is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Edas Butvilas (May 9).
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (May 13).
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