ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Bastad
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Lorenzo Musetti and Matteo Arnaldi are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,096 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | +47.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.48u | +8.47u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
4
Musetti
0
Arnaldi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Arnaldi's 50%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | W 46 76 75 32 | W 64 67 57 64 76 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 75 | W 67 63 76 63 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 64 | L 63 62 57 46 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 36 75 | W 46 76 64 |
| Jaume Munar | W 63 60 61 | W 63 36 63 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 62 64 | L 16 76 46 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 57 16 | L 57 26 |
| Alexander Shevchenko | W 63 61 | L 67 76 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 62 75 64 | L 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Musetti | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.9% | 61.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60% | 51.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.2% | 33.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 43.1% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 29.2% | 45.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.9 | 24.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.1 | 36.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.6% | 63.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.8% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 60% | 68% |
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Matteo Arnaldi face off in the Round of 16 at Bastad on Clay.
Lorenzo Musetti leads 4-0 over 4 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
Matteo Arnaldi is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Matteo Berrettini (Jun 3).
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