ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Hamburg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Kovalik
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Lorenzo Musetti here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.48u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Musetti
0
Kovalik
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Musetti | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.9% | 59.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 59.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.5% | 43.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60% | 35% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.2% | 27% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 43.1% | 42.3% |
| BP Converted % | 29.2% | 50% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.5% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.8% | 42.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 60% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Jozef Kovalik face off in the Round of 16 at Hamburg on Clay.
Lorenzo Musetti leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
Jozef Kovalik is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Dimitar Kuzmanov (Jun 19).
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