WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 978 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jasmine Paolini here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the servebot's high ace rate. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -42.8% | -28.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.42u | -2.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Samsonova
0
Paolini
Mar 5, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 16, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Samsonova's 10%).
| Opponent | Samsonova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 26 | W 67 62 63 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 36 57 | L 57 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 60 57 46 | W 36 62 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 57 16 | L 36 26 |
| Taylor Townsend | L 26 46 | W 63 16 62 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 63 57 26 | W 76 61 |
| Priscilla Hon | L 64 36 26 | W 60 62 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 75 57 36 | W 76 76 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 36 64 67 | W 62 63 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 64 60 | W 63 60 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Samsonova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.9% | 63.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.1% | 62.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 44.6% | 42.7% |
| Aces / Match | 2 | 1.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.3% | 52.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.9% | 37.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.1% | 48.5% |
| BP Converted % | 54% | 28.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.9% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Liudmila Samsonova and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Round of 16 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Liudmila Samsonova leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Liudmila Samsonova is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jil Teichmann (May 25).
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
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