WTA 500 · Round of 32 · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Rybakina
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,410 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Liudmila Samsonova plays Elena Rybakina.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | -42.8% | +71.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.42u | +13.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
4
Samsonova
2
Rybakina
May 18, 2025
Strasbourg
C Clay · Final
Feb 5, 2024
Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 2, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 7, 2023
Montreal
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 19, 2022
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 9, 2021
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Samsonova's 11%).
| Opponent | Samsonova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 62 61 | L |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 26 | L 67 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 75 57 36 | W 67 64 76 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 36 57 | W 76 26 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 67 | W 26 63 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 26 | L 46 36 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 36 64 67 | W 63 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 57 | W 75 61 |
| Marketa Vondrousova | L 16 64 26 | L 46 75 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Samsonova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.9% | 60.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.1% | 72.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 44.6% | 54.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2 | 5.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.3% | 39.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.9% | 38.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.1% | 56.2% |
| BP Converted % | 54% | 48.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.9% | 55.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Liudmila Samsonova and Elena Rybakina face off in the Round of 32 at Tokyo on Hard.
Liudmila Samsonova leads 4-2 over 6 previous meetings.
Liudmila Samsonova is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jil Teichmann (May 25).
Elena Rybakina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Jun 18).
Share this match
