WTA 500 · Round of 32 · Osaka
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
🏹 Frontrunner
Baptiste
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 183 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Leylah Fernandez plays Hailey Baptiste.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–1 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.57 |
| ROI % | +15.8% | +57.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.63u | +1.14u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Fernandez
0
Baptiste
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baptiste has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Fernandez's 20%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Victoria Mboko | L 46 46 | W 76 63 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 67 36 | L 46 67 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 67 | W 26 62 76 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 67 67 | W 75 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 67 62 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 26 | L 46 64 67 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 57 75 63 | W 63 75 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 60 76 | W 75 62 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 75 46 67 | W 75 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 64 57 | L 63 06 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fernandez | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.9% | 55.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.5% | 69.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.8% | 51.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.2 | 6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 67.2% | 57.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.7% | 35.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 52.3% |
| BP Converted % | 44.8% | 46.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 51.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 71% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Leylah Fernandez and Hailey Baptiste face off in the Round of 32 at Osaka on Hard.
Leylah Fernandez leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Leylah Fernandez is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Victoria Mboko (May 17).
Hailey Baptiste is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elina Svitolina (May 5).
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