WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
🏹 Frontrunner
Rybakina
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 63% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 222 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Elena Rybakina here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–1 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +15.8% | +48.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.63u | +0.96u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
2
Fernandez
3
Rybakina
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Fernandez's 40%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Victoria Mboko | L 46 46 | L 57 64 46 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 36 64 | W 63 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 61 64 | W 64 63 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W 64 61 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 67 36 | W 75 61 |
| Iva Jovic | W 36 63 62 | W 63 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 06 | W 63 64 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 26 | W 26 63 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 67 | L 46 36 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 75 46 67 | W 64 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fernandez | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.9% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.5% | 72.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.8% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 2.2 | 6.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.9 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 67.2% | 56.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.7% | 36.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 44.8% | 51.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 54% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 80% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Leylah Fernandez and Elena Rybakina face off in the Round of 32 at Cincinnati on Hard.
Leylah Fernandez leads 2-3 over 5 previous meetings.
Leylah Fernandez is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Victoria Mboko (May 17).
Elena Rybakina is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alexandra Eala (May 5).
Share this match
