Grand Slam · Semifinals · Us Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Leylah Fernandez and Aryna Sabalenka are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 7,560 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–1 | 5–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +15.8% | -10.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.63u | -0.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Fernandez
1
Sabalenka
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fernandez's 50%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 06 | L |
| Naomi Osaka | L 64 57 36 | W |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 26 63 62 | W |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 36 36 | W |
| Victoria Mboko | L 46 46 | W 76 64 |
| Rebeka Masarova | L 64 46 46 | W 75 61 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 64 64 | L 62 36 57 |
| Ann Li | W 63 62 | W 76 64 |
| Iva Jovic | W 36 63 62 | W 63 60 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 62 75 | L 62 26 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fernandez | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.4% | 65.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.6% | 71.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.3% | 54.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.2 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.9 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 66.5% | 54.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.6% | 34.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.6% | 57.5% |
| BP Converted % | 46.3% | 45.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 54.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Leylah Fernandez and Aryna Sabalenka face off in the Semifinals at Us Open on Hard.
Leylah Fernandez leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Leylah Fernandez is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alycia Parks (May 25).
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
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