ITF M25 · Round of 32 · M25 Takasaki
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Saitoh
🧱 The Wall
Matsuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,782 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Koki Matsuda here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Saitoh | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–1 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +57.9% | -17.2% |
| Units P/L | +4.63u | -1.03u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Saitoh
1
Matsuda
Nov 2, 2025
Matsuyama
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 15, 2025
M25 Takasaki
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Saitoh has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Matsuda's 33%).
| Opponent | Saitoh | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Kosuke Ogura | W | W 63 26 62 |
| Ko Suzuki | W 63 61 | W 75 63 |
| San Hui Sin | W 63 26 64 | L 36 26 |
| Noah Zamora | W 63 63 | L 76 46 46 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | L 67 06 | L 36 26 |
| Kasidit Samrej | L 36 16 | L 62 57 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Saitoh | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.4% | 59.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.8% | 74.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.3% | 47.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 5.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 62.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.2% | 33.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 58.8% | 47% |
| BP Converted % | 46.8% | 46% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.7% | 51.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 72% | 71% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Keisuke Saitoh and Koki Matsuda face off in the Round of 32 at M25 Takasaki on Hard.
Keisuke Saitoh leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Keisuke Saitoh is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Kosuke Ogura (Jun 17).
Koki Matsuda is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aoran Wang (Jun 17).
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