Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Australian Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🪃 Counterpuncher
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pablo Carreno Busta here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | +21.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.20u | +1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Nishikori
1
Busta
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Jan 15, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nishikori | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.6% | 71.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.5% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.5% | 30.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.1% | 36.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.9% | 52.7% |
| BP Converted % | 46.6% | 42.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 20.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 17 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 86.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52% | 52.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 21
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Yibing Wu
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 16
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 32
Apr 8
Clement Tabur
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche · Round of 32
Mar 9
Matchup overview
Kei Nishikori and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Round of 16 at Australian Open on Hard.
Kei Nishikori leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Kei Nishikori is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colton Smith (Apr 21).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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