ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Rotterdam
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🪃 Counterpuncher
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,829 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex de Minaur here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.20u | -2.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Nishikori
1
Minaur
Mar 1, 2021
Rotterdam
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 31, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishikori's 0%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 57 36 | W 64 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nishikori | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.6% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.5% | 64.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52% | 51.8% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.5% | 57.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.1% | 30% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.9% | 50% |
| BP Converted % | 46.6% | 44.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 19.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 32.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 76.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 21
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Yibing Wu
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 16
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 32
Apr 8
Clement Tabur
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche · Round of 32
Mar 9
Matchup overview
Kei Nishikori and Alex de Minaur face off in the Round of 16 at Rotterdam on Hard.
Kei Nishikori leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Kei Nishikori is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colton Smith (Apr 21).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
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