ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Morelos
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
💥 Big Hitter
Hernandez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Keegan Smith here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 2.81 |
| ROI % | +15.8% | -3.6% |
| Units P/L | +2.84u | -0.32u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Smith
0
Hernandez
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smith has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Hernandez's 0%).
| Opponent | Smith | Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Ivashka | W 64 64 | L 16 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Smith | Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.8% | 62.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.8% | 64.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57% | 40.9% |
| Aces / Match | 6.2 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 4.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.2% | 52% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28% | 28.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 44.2% | 48.2% |
| BP Converted % | 36.4% | 37% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.8 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 47.6% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.8% | 46.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Alex Bolt
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Rio Noguchi
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Finn Bass
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Hamish Stewart
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Ben Jones
Lexus Birmingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Juan Bautista Torres
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Jun 22
Guido Ivan Justo
CIT Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Ilya Ivashka
S M KRISHNA MEMORIAL OPEN · Quarterfinals
May 21
Naoya Honda
S M KRISHNA MEMORIAL OPEN · Round of 16
May 20
Yuta Kawahashi
KARNATAKA OPEN · Round of 32
May 11
Matchup overview
Keegan Smith and Alex Hernandez face off in the Round of 16 at Morelos on Hard.
Keegan Smith leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Keegan Smith is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Bolt (Jun 10).
Alex Hernandez is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Juan Bautista Torres (Jun 22).
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