WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Bad Homburg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 53% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,071 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Katerina Siniakova here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the servebot's high ace rate. On Grass, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -3.9% | -42.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.55u | -3.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Siniakova
1
Samsonova
Jun 24, 2024
Bad Homburg
G Grass · Round of 16
Aug 7, 2023
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 26, 2023
Bad Homburg
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Samsonova's 22%).
| Opponent | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L | L 36 67 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 76 62 | L 57 36 |
| Lois Boisson | W 62 63 | L 36 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | L 36 57 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 16 64 61 | W 64 60 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 57 64 76 | L 75 57 36 |
| Maya Joint | W 63 61 | W 63 62 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 36 26 | L 64 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 62.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.7% | 68.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.5% | 44.6% |
| Aces / Match | 1 | 2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 71.9% | 46.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 43.4% | 37.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.3% | 55.1% |
| BP Converted % | 49.5% | 54% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.7% | 50.9% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 50% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Katerina Siniakova and Liudmila Samsonova face off in the Round of 16 at Bad Homburg on Grass.
Katerina Siniakova leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Katerina Siniakova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 17).
Liudmila Samsonova is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jil Teichmann (May 25).
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