Katerina Siniakova vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#87 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–6
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#43 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Katerina Siniakova and Liudmila Samsonova have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg in 2023 on grass. On grass courts Siniakova leads 2–1. Across all meetings Siniakova has taken 5 sets to Samsonova's 6. Their most recent meeting: Liudmila Samsonova won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Wuhan Open - Wuhan
- Level
- WTA 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.99 or longer, Katerina Siniakova has won 48 of 114 (42%). That is level with the 41% the price implied.
At 1.82 or shorter, Liudmila Samsonova has won 93 of 163 (57%). The price implied 60%, so Liudmila Samsonova has fallen 3 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Katerina Siniakova and Liudmila Samsonova meet in the 1st Round of the Wuhan Open on October 11 on hard court. Siniakova, ranked 55th, arrives after two matches in fourteen days; Samsonova sits at 39th with the same recent schedule. Both players lost their last outing.
The head-to-head stands even at two wins apiece. Siniakova has won 2 of her last 5 matches; Samsonova has won 3 of her last 5. On hard court over a recent sample, Siniakova stands at 8-12 (40%), while Samsonova stands at 10-10 (50%). Both players have faced Daria Kasatkina, Leylah Fernandez, and Lois Boisson in the past stretch, with Siniakova winning all three and Samsonova losing all three.
Siniakova thrives when she controls the baseline and builds points from the ground. Samsonova relies on her serve and aggressive pace from the start of rallies. The hard court surface can suit both approaches, but Siniakova's consistency against the trio of common opponents contrasts with Samsonova's split recent record on the surface. The match will turn on whether Siniakova's groundstroke accuracy can withstand Samsonova's early pressure.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siniakova | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katerina Siniakova | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 13/17 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 9/18 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 13/35 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 46% | 13/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Siniakova 0, Samsonova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 21, 2026
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 26, 2024
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 30, 2023
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Siniakova | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katerina Siniakova | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.80 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -18.3% | +20.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.10u | +3.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 8,184 mi · 13,171 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | UKR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Siniakova and Samsonova posted a 38% win rate.
| Opponent | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 61 46 26 | L 63 36 26 |
| Madison Keys | L 16 36 | W 36 64 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 62 57 | L 36 46 |
| Emilie Chen | W 62 60 | W 62 62 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 67 36 | L 64 67 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 46 | L 36 67 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 57 64 76 | L 75 57 36 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 16 64 61 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Magda Linette
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Linda Fruhvirtova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 19
Marta Kostyuk
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Kayla Day
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Elsa Jacquemot
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 15
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–44 matches
| Metric | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 45% |
| Sets won | 52% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 2 | 1 |