Katerina Siniakova vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฟKaterina Siniakova
#39 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4 meetings ยท sets 5โ6

๐ท๐บLiudmila Samsonova
#45 ยท 27 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Katerina Siniakova and Liudmila Samsonova have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg in 2023 on grass. On grass courts Siniakova leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Siniakova has taken 5 sets to Samsonova's 6. Their most recent meeting: Liudmila Samsonova won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siniakova | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katerina Siniakova | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 16/20 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 12/39 | 41% | 17/41 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 12/24 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Siniakova 0, Samsonova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakova
๐น Frontrunner
Samsonova
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 21, 2026
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Jun 26, 2024
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jun 30, 2023
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Siniakova | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katerina Siniakova | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ4 | 9โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -20.9% | +11.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.67u | +1.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 761 mi ยท 1,225 km |
| Route | POL | AUT โ CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Samsonova's 30%).
| Opponent | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Keys | L 16 36 | W 36 64 64 |
| Maya Joint | W 63 61 | W 75 67 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 62 57 | L 36 46 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 67 36 | L 64 67 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 46 | L 36 67 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 76 62 | L 57 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Lois Boisson | W 62 63 | L 36 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 57 64 76 | L 75 57 36 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 16 64 61 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Qinwen Zheng
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Liudmila Samsonova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 1st Round
Jun 21
Jessica Pegula
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rebeka Masarova
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Yue Yuan
Berlin
Jun 15
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Yulia Putintseva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Barbora Krejcikova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Janice Tjen
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Xinyu Wang
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ41 matches
| Metric | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 44% |
| Sets won | 53% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Siniakova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 2 | 1 |
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