Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Us Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,425 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Karolina Muchova plays Jasmine Paolini.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +90.4% | -28.0% |
| Units P/L | +13.56u | -2.80u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Muchova
0
Paolini
Dec 27, 2024
United Cup
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 26, 2024
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 31, 2021
Gippsland Trophy
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paolini's 50%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W | L 64 46 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 26 | W 67 62 63 |
| Elise Mertens | W 16 63 60 | L 64 67 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 36 26 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 57 63 | L 36 26 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 62 64 | W 61 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 60 62 | L 16 67 |
| Katie Boulter | W 63 75 | W 06 63 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 06 | W 61 62 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | W 46 61 76 | W 75 57 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Muchova | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67% | 63.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.2% | 62.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.1% | 42.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.8% | 52.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.6% | 37.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.6% | 48.5% |
| BP Converted % | 57.4% | 28.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Karolina Muchova and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Round of 16 at Us Open on Hard.
Karolina Muchova leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Karolina Muchova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Madison Keys (Jun 18).
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
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