WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Brisbane
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Alexandrova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Karolina Muchova and Ekaterina Alexandrova are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,908 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 0–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | +90.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +13.56u | -4.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Muchova
2
Alexandrova
Jan 4, 2026
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 27, 2025
Linz
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 19, 2021
Stuttgart
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 14, 2019
Moscow
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Alexandrova's 30%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Camila Osorio | W 46 62 75 | L 26 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 46 46 |
| Linda Noskova | W 67 64 62 | L 16 16 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 60 62 | W 63 63 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 75 76 | W 63 62 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 62 63 | L 36 64 67 |
| Anna Bondar | W 75 62 | L 76 36 67 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 06 | L 61 67 57 |
| Magda Linette | W 61 61 | L 26 64 16 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 36 64 61 | W 63 67 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Muchova | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67% | 52.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.2% | 63.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.1% | 42.4% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 5.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.8% | 50.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.6% | 28.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.6% | 53.2% |
| BP Converted % | 57.4% | 31.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49% | 46.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Karolina Muchova and Ekaterina Alexandrova face off in the Round of 16 at Brisbane on Hard.
Karolina Muchova leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Karolina Muchova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Madison Keys (Jun 18).
Ekaterina Alexandrova is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Camila Osorio (May 25).
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