WTA 500 · Round of 32 · Brisbane
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Karolina Muchova and Ajla Tomljanovic are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,908 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | +90.4% | -44.6% |
| Units P/L | +13.56u | -4.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Muchova
1
Tomljanovic
Jan 4, 2026
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 29, 2022
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tomljanovic's 50%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Camila Osorio | W 46 62 75 | W |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 57 63 | L 46 76 57 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 26 06 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 61 26 46 | L 16 75 46 |
| Anna Bondar | W 75 62 | W 76 64 |
| Xin Yu Wang | L 57 26 | W 63 61 |
| Venus Williams | W 63 26 61 | W 64 61 |
| Alycia Parks | W 46 64 64 | W 75 75 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 75 | L 46 36 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 62 63 | L 64 46 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Muchova | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67% | 66.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.2% | 57.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.1% | 36.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 8.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.8% | 54.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.6% | 33.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.6% | 62.5% |
| BP Converted % | 57.4% | 49.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49% | 46.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Karolina Muchova and Ajla Tomljanovic face off in the Round of 32 at Brisbane on Hard.
Karolina Muchova leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Karolina Muchova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Madison Keys (Jun 18).
Ajla Tomljanovic is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Veronika Erjavec (Jun 21).
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