Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Us Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Ajla Tomljanovic and Karolina Muchova are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,908 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 10–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -44.6% | +90.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.01u | +13.56u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Tomljanovic
1
Muchova
Jan 4, 2026
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 29, 2022
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tomljanovic's 50%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Camila Osorio | W | W 46 62 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | L 57 16 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 76 57 | W 63 57 63 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 75 46 | L 61 26 46 |
| Xin Yu Wang | W 63 61 | L 57 26 |
| Anna Bondar | W 76 64 | W 75 62 |
| Venus Williams | W 64 61 | W 63 26 61 |
| Alycia Parks | W 75 75 | W 46 64 64 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 46 36 | W 64 75 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 64 46 36 | W 62 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tomljanovic | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.8% | 67% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 57.4% | 63.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 36.7% | 46.1% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 8.3 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.6% | 56.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.1% | 34.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 62.5% | 49.6% |
| BP Converted % | 49.2% | 57.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.9% | 49% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Ajla Tomljanovic and Karolina Muchova face off in the Round of 128 at Us Open on Hard.
Ajla Tomljanovic leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Ajla Tomljanovic is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Veronika Erjavec (Jun 21).
Karolina Muchova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Madison Keys (Jun 18).
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