ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Ambato
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mejia
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Nicolas Mejia here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -17.3% | -17.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.52u | -2.23u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Varillas
1
Mejia
Nov 28, 2025
Bogota (Los Lagartos)
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 21, 2022
Ambato
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mejia has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Varillas's 40%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Franco Roncadelli | L 64 26 26 | W 64 62 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W 63 46 63 | L 36 26 |
| Zdenek Kolar | L 67 76 67 | W 26 64 76 |
| Hady Habib | W 75 36 63 | W 76 62 |
| Sebastian Gima | L 46 26 | W 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Varillas | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 53.8% | 58.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.9% | 64.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.2% | 46.5% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 4.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4 | 3.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.8% | 59.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26% | 28.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.3% | 44.9% |
| BP Converted % | 34.8% | 36.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 4 | 10 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 30 | 33 |
| Net Pts Won % | 50% | 50% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.3% | 46.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Ryan Dickerson
Santos Brasil Tennis Cup · Round of 32
May 6
Lautaro Midon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 16
Apr 9
Victor Braga
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Apr 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 16
Apr 2
Yi Zhou
Dublin Challenger · Round of 16
Jun 11
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 8
Karl Poling
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · Round of 32
Jun 3
Justin Boulais
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Round of 16
May 28
Henry Searle
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Round of 32
May 26
Matchup overview
Juan Pablo Varillas and Nicolas Mejia face off in the Quarterfinals at Ambato on Clay.
Juan Pablo Varillas leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Juan Pablo Varillas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ryan Dickerson (May 6).
Nicolas Mejia is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Yi Zhou (Jun 11).
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