ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Santiago
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,919 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Juan Pablo Varillas here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -17.3% | -13.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.52u | -1.61u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Varillas
1
Almeida
Mar 10, 2025
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 11, 2022
Santiago
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (30% vs Varillas's 20%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 62 64 | W 62 62 |
| Ryan Dickerson | L 57 36 | W 61 61 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 63 75 | L 57 46 |
| Franco Roncadelli | L 64 26 26 | L 06 67 |
| Alex Barrena | L 62 26 36 | L 61 67 46 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 06 57 | L 36 16 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 26 67 | W 76 62 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | L 63 26 46 | L 57 36 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 26 | L 46 26 |
| Franco Agamenone | L 67 26 | L 46 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Varillas | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 53.8% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.9% | 62.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.2% | 48% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 0.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.8% | 46.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26% | 47.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.3% | 59.6% |
| BP Converted % | 34.8% | 53.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 4 | 8.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 30 | 29 |
| Net Pts Won % | 50% | 75% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.3% | 54% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 69% |
Last five matches per player
Ryan Dickerson
Santos Brasil Tennis Cup · Round of 32
May 6
Lautaro Midon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 16
Apr 9
Victor Braga
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Apr 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 16
Apr 2
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Jun 22
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion San Miguel de Tucuman · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion San Miguel de Tucuman · Round of 16
Jun 11
Ryan Dickerson
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion San Miguel de Tucuman · Round of 32
Jun 9
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M25 Cuiaba · Round of 32
Jun 1
Matchup overview
Juan Pablo Varillas and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida face off in the Quarterfinals at Santiago on Clay.
Juan Pablo Varillas leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Juan Pablo Varillas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ryan Dickerson (May 6).
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi (Jun 22).
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