ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Buenos Aires
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Lorenzo Musetti here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | -17.3% | -14.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.52u | -1.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Varillas
1
Musetti
Jul 4, 2023
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Feb 17, 2023
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Varillas | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 53.8% | 64.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.9% | 70% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.2% | 49.5% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.8% | 60% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26% | 31.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.3% | 43.1% |
| BP Converted % | 34.8% | 29.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 4 | 21 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 30 | 24 |
| Net Pts Won % | 50% | 71.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.3% | 48.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Ryan Dickerson
Santos Brasil Tennis Cup · Round of 32
May 6
Lautaro Midon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 16
Apr 9
Victor Braga
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Apr 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 16
Apr 2
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Matchup overview
Juan Pablo Varillas and Lorenzo Musetti face off in the Quarterfinals at Buenos Aires on Clay.
Juan Pablo Varillas leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Juan Pablo Varillas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ryan Dickerson (May 6).
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
Share this match
