ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · BNP Paribas Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,198 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Joao Fonseca here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +1.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.36u | +0.28u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Fonseca
1
Paul
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fonseca | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Fonseca and Paul posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Fonseca | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 64 | W 62 36 76 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 46 | L 67 46 57 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 67 | L 61 06 36 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 46 76 64 | W 63 36 76 36 63 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 67 60 63 | W 61 62 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 76 57 | W 64 63 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 76 76 63 | L 75 46 46 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 57 62 64 | W 46 64 76 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 64 | W 61 61 |
| Tomas Machac | L 67 26 36 | L 62 36 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fonseca | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.3% | 64.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.4% | 70.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.2% | 51.4% |
| Aces / Match | 5.6 | 6.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 42.7% | 49.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.1% | 26.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.2% | 47.9% |
| BP Converted % | 37.7% | 41.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 22.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.8 | 29.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68.6% | 65.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.4% | 48.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 67% | 73% |
Last five matches per player
Ben Shelton
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Arthur Rinderknech
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 16
Apr 15
Alejandro Tabilo
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Alexander Zverev
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Matteo Berrettini
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 9
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Final
Apr 5
Frances Tiafoe
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Semifinals
Apr 4
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Quarterfinals
Apr 3
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 16
Mar 24
Matchup overview
Joao Fonseca and Tommy Paul face off in the Round of 32 at BNP Paribas Open on Hard.
Joao Fonseca leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Joao Fonseca is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ben Shelton (Apr 17).
Tommy Paul is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Roman Andres Burruchaga (Apr 5).
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