ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 128 · ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Fearnley
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,329 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Joao Fonseca here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -1.1% | -28.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.15u | -2.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Fonseca
0
Fearnley
Jul 1, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Mar 6, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Jan 3, 2025
Canberra
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fearnley has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Fonseca's 20%).
| Opponent | Fonseca | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 26 26 | W 64 62 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 63 36 67 | W 76 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 57 76 36 | L 46 61 67 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 76 57 | L 36 76 16 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 67 60 63 | L 16 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fonseca | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67.8% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 63.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.4% | 41.9% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 3.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.4% | 65% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.8% | 26.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.7% | 59.4% |
| BP Converted % | 48.7% | 49.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25.1 | 26.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 62.7% | 65.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.6% | 47% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Bonzi
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Luca Nardi
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Dane Sweeny
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Joao Fonseca and Jacob Fearnley face off in the Round of 128 at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells on Hard.
Joao Fonseca leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Joao Fonseca is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Yannick Hanfmann (Jun 16).
Jacob Fearnley is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Benjamin Bonzi (Jun 11).
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