WTA 500 · Semifinals · Birmingham
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Potapova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,074 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Jelena Ostapenko plays Anastasia Potapova.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.57 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -46.0% | +64.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.92u | +1.29u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Ostapenko
1
Potapova
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Potapova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Ostapenko's 22%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | L 16 67 | L 57 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | L 67 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 26 | W 76 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 26 46 | L 61 46 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 57 62 75 | L 76 26 36 |
| Marina Stakusic | L 46 76 26 | W 46 61 75 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 67 63 64 | W 16 64 63 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 36 26 | W 76 75 |
| Lucia Bronzetti | L 61 36 46 | W 57 64 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ostapenko | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.1% | 68.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 45.6% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 6.1 | 3.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.6% | 57.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 40.2% | 43.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.7% | 59.3% |
| BP Converted % | 55.2% | 54.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.7% | 54.1% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jelena Ostapenko and Anastasia Potapova face off in the Semifinals at Birmingham on Grass.
Jelena Ostapenko leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Jelena Ostapenko is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Lucrezia Stefanini (May 5).
Anastasia Potapova is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Dalma Galfi (May 5).
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