WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,074 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Anastasia Potapova plays Jelena Ostapenko.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| ROI % | +64.5% | -46.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.29u | -0.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Potapova
2
Ostapenko
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Potapova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Ostapenko's 22%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | L 64 36 26 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 57 46 | L 16 67 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | L 26 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 61 46 36 | L 75 26 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 76 26 36 | W 57 62 75 |
| Marina Stakusic | W 46 61 75 | L 46 76 26 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 16 64 63 | W 67 63 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 75 | L 36 26 |
| Lucia Bronzetti | W 57 64 75 | L 61 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Potapova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60% | 59% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.5% | 67.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.6% | 42.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.9 | 6.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.3% | 56.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 43.1% | 40.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 59.3% | 56.7% |
| BP Converted % | 54.1% | 55.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.1% | 51.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 79% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Anastasia Potapova and Jelena Ostapenko face off in the Round of 32 at Madrid on Clay.
Anastasia Potapova leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Anastasia Potapova is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Dalma Galfi (May 5).
Jelena Ostapenko is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Lucrezia Stefanini (May 5).
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