WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Miami
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,425 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Jasmine Paolini plays Naomi Osaka.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 11–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | -28.0% | +54.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.80u | +7.67u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Paolini
0
Osaka
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Paolini's 40%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | W |
| Laura Siegemund | W 36 62 64 | W |
| Iga Swiatek | W 61 62 | L 26 16 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | W 63 61 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | W 62 64 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 62 16 | L 57 46 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 61 62 | L 61 46 26 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | W 63 62 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 76 76 | W 46 75 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paolini | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.4% | 59.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.9% | 65.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 47.8% |
| Aces / Match | 1.2 | 3.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.8% | 46.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.5% | 41.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.5% | 55.4% |
| BP Converted % | 28.8% | 67.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.3% | 52.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jasmine Paolini and Naomi Osaka face off in the Round of 16 at Miami on Hard.
Jasmine Paolini leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
Naomi Osaka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aryna Sabalenka (Jun 1).
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