WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Bad Homburg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,602 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Jasmine Paolini plays Leylah Fernandez.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -28.0% | -8.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.80u | -1.12u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Paolini
2
Fernandez
Jun 22, 2025
Bad Homburg
G Grass · Round of 16
Feb 19, 2024
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 7, 2023
BJK Cup Finals
H Hard · Final
Jan 6, 2021
Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paolini's 50%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Dayana Yastremska | W | L 16 26 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 67 62 64 | W 61 75 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 62 63 | W 64 36 64 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 36 62 64 | L 26 36 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | W 62 75 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | W 36 63 62 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 26 | W 67 61 76 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 16 67 | W 61 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 76 46 67 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 16 62 | W 64 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paolini | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.4% | 63.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.9% | 65.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 48.9% |
| Aces / Match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 5.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.8% | 67.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.5% | 35.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.5% | 55.7% |
| BP Converted % | 28.8% | 49.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.3% | 51.9% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jasmine Paolini and Leylah Fernandez face off in the Round of 16 at Bad Homburg on Grass.
Jasmine Paolini leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
Leylah Fernandez is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alycia Parks (May 25).
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