WTA 500 · Quarterfinals · Merida
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Boulter
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,602 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Jasmine Paolini plays Katie Boulter.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -28.0% | -0.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.80u | -0.08u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Paolini
1
Boulter
Feb 23, 2026
Merida
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 22, 2025
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Jun 24, 2024
Eastbourne
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 29, 2024
Linz
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 7, 2022
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Paolini and Boulter posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | W |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 67 62 63 | L |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | L 76 26 16 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | W 75 57 64 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 16 62 | W 64 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L 46 46 |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | W 75 75 | W 64 64 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 46 26 | L 36 46 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 57 75 63 | L 06 57 |
| Yue Yuan | W 36 64 63 | W 64 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.4% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.9% | 64.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 43.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1.2 | 3.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 4.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.8% | 58.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.5% | 40.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.5% | 52.4% |
| BP Converted % | 28.8% | 41.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.3% | 50.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jasmine Paolini and Katie Boulter face off in the Quarterfinals at Merida on Hard.
Jasmine Paolini leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
Katie Boulter is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Donna Vekic (Jun 13).
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