WTA 1000 · Round of 64 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mertens
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 66% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,261 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Elise Mertens here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.29 |
| ROI % | - | -21.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.63u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
1
Paolini
5
Mertens
May 5, 2026
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 16, 2023
Monastir
H Hard · Final
Feb 21, 2022
Doha
H Hard · Round of 64
Oct 6, 2021
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Aug 10, 2020
Prague
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 21, 2018
Fed Cup WG R1: BEL vs ITA
C Clay · Round Robin
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Paolini's 30%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | L 16 67 | W 62 61 |
| Cristina Bucsa | L 57 46 | W 62 61 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 57 75 63 | L 26 36 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 62 67 36 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 62 75 | W 62 62 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 46 26 | W 63 60 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 16 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 46 67 |
| Yue Yuan | W 36 64 63 | W 60 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 64 67 16 | W 61 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paolini | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65% | 60.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 61.6% | 70.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48% | 46.6% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.4% | 61.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37% | 40.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51% | 54.7% |
| BP Converted % | 41.3% | 44.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.5% | 53% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jasmine Paolini and Elise Mertens face off in the Round of 64 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Jasmine Paolini leads 1-5 over 6 previous meetings.
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elise Mertens (May 5).
Elise Mertens is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Panna Udvardy (May 5).
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