Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Shnaider
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 267 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jasmine Paolini here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -28.0% | +19.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.80u | +4.29u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Paolini
0
Shnaider
May 6, 2025
Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Paolini's 50%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | W |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 75 63 | W 63 61 |
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | W 36 76 76 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 62 16 | W 57 61 61 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 36 62 64 | L 67 62 36 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 57 75 63 | L 26 67 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 36 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L 63 36 26 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 76 76 | W 63 60 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 67 62 63 | W 61 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Paolini | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.4% | 63.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.9% | 60.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 45.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 3.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.8% | 53.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.5% | 38.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.5% | 52% |
| BP Converted % | 28.8% | 51.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.3% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jasmine Paolini and Diana Shnaider face off in the Round of 128 at Australian Open on Hard.
Jasmine Paolini leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
Diana Shnaider is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nikola Bartunkova (Jun 15).
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